Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2357.296559 2549.685803 2743.432609 2952.864422 3172.550744 3395.875193 3639.755418
2025-07-20 2065.556589 2356.282043 2658.911704 2996.252611 3360.599382 3741.121785 4167.442574
2025-07-27 1857.976019 2207.640548 2580.814989 3006.260356 3475.431844 3974.722273 4543.918910
2025-08-03 1689.387803 2080.225469 2506.429597 3001.659581 3557.278167 4157.652695 4851.657556
2025-08-10 1563.613638 1987.897289 2459.494348 3016.595284 3650.889251 4345.118438 5156.905891
2025-08-17 1438.823568 1886.645600 2393.579768 3001.788972 3703.754751 4481.085705 5399.526527
2025-08-24 1353.480392 1824.927809 2367.387471 3027.158170 3797.662846 4659.475700 5686.724521
2025-08-31 1253.693355 1739.515133 2307.876726 3008.664608 3836.666703 4771.901444 5896.197804
2025-09-07 1200.369717 1706.872153 2307.835187 3057.337546 3951.466301 4969.508978 6201.830551
2025-09-14 1133.057373 1652.884177 2278.707157 3068.369076 4019.606373 5111.377020 6442.028682
2025-09-21 1064.995853 1594.202262 2240.669926 3065.824203 4069.291168 5229.961671 6653.923393
2025-09-28 971.230309 1497.821210 2151.910591 2997.703677 4037.208401 5249.892084 6748.430182
2025-10-05 957.179274 1505.626173 2194.378209 3092.537305 4203.937949 5507.590614 7125.917854
2025-10-12 921.778231 1483.338372 2197.462126 3137.637941 4309.947281 5693.434582 7419.586815
2025-10-19 874.107091 1442.049613 2174.174773 3147.952231 4372.035569 5825.908462 7649.524788
2025-10-26 823.579904 1394.315598 2140.432437 3143.209867 4414.096635 5933.278534 7848.902142
2025-11-02 784.560246 1360.622534 2123.509008 3158.604964 4480.174790 6069.060275 8082.032645
2025-11-09 736.269859 1311.459720 2084.114475 3143.343242 4506.530179 6155.575419 8255.258327
2025-11-16 706.492682 1287.443903 2077.296562 3169.492271 4584.412412 6304.744033 8504.204932
2025-11-23 662.273320 1240.173430 2037.166062 3150.430454 4603.732433 6381.096728 8664.202283
2025-11-30 644.866714 1231.845607 2049.774361 3200.596414 4711.138537 6566.167085 8956.952089
2025-12-07 615.313820 1203.773989 2033.923626 3211.965190 4768.130468 6688.415097 9172.837246
2025-12-14 582.850187 1169.691229 2008.421007 3209.342555 4806.285605 6786.723273 9359.124508